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White paper: the economic value of the Long Term Support Initiative

White paper: the economic value of the Long Term Support Initiative

Posted Oct 9, 2013 4:25 UTC (Wed) by raven667 (subscriber, #5198)
In reply to: White paper: the economic value of the Long Term Support Initiative by dlang
Parent article: White paper: the economic value of the Long Term Support Initiative

While what you say is true, the conditions haven't been met, there is no evidence that the conditions _can't_ be met. I think that future is closer than you think, desktop sales have been falling for a long time and now laptop sales are falling, what is growing is sales of phones and tablets. That future where the traditional desktop OS is marginal and not the centre of the market is in the foreseeable future.


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White paper: the economic value of the Long Term Support Initiative

Posted Oct 9, 2013 4:36 UTC (Wed) by dlang (guest, #313) [Link] (1 responses)

> there is no evidence that the conditions _can't_ be met.

actually, for some things I think it's very clear that they can't be met

you are not going to get a large heatsink and fan on any mobile.

The storage available is always going to be much less (and no, an Internet connection does not replace storage)

and there is always a price premium on being small

you are mistaking turnover for use. the turnover of desktop systems is dropping (and to a lesser degree, turnover of laptop systems). No question there. But that just means that the R&D focus of the hardware vendors isn't going to be in that area, not that the traditional desktop OS is marginal.

if everyone keeps a machine for twice as long, the sales will drop by half, but the number of people using the systems remains the same.

White paper: the economic value of the Long Term Support Initiative

Posted Oct 9, 2013 8:17 UTC (Wed) by dgm (subscriber, #49227) [Link]

> and there is always a price premium on being small

The new small is watch sized. In a couple of years a tablet or phone is going to be considered medium sized, and laptops just "big". And the desktop (actually deskunder) box I use is going to be considered frigging-super-computer-sized.


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