Notes from the LF End User Summit

Posted Nov 14, 2009 6:51 UTC (Sat) by ldarby (guest, #41318)
In reply to: Notes from the LF End User Summit by jspaleta
Parent article: Notes from the LF End User Summit

> I think we all sort of believe that unpaid deployments have some direct
> impact on increasing demand for linux development related expenditures

That's pretty much the same argument as downloading music without paying for it increases the exposure of that artist and therefor their revenues. I do agree that the lack of metrics makes if hard/impossible to see what the truth is.

Notes from the LF End User Summit

Posted Nov 16, 2009 16:26 UTC (Mon) by dark (guest, #8483) [Link] (1 responses)

The Baen Free Library has some metrics. For books, not music :) Eric Flint examined the sales of his books which had been put up for free download, compared with similar books which hadn't. Unfortunately I can't find them anymore :( Probably buried in one of the editorials.

The "Macaulay on copyright law" piece is worth reading, anyway.

Notes from the LF End User Summit

Posted Nov 16, 2009 20:12 UTC (Mon) by jspaleta (subscriber, #50639) [Link]

My understanding is that Eric Flint's free library experiments are focused on the giving away of electronic versions of older back catelog works as a way to find new readership. He's got credible numbers to backup the positive bottomline effect for book authors. But a lot of that positive economic feedback is about deriving value from older works. In Eric Flint's experiments authors are maximizing the value of older works and getting better royalty paychecks as a result.

The conclusions that can be drawn from the Baen Free Library experiment are not directly applicable for the computer software market in general and certainly not the linux operating system market aimed at business end-users like the ones at the LF End User Summit.

The market dynamics for operating system software are intrinsically different than what fiction book authors are presented with. For books and music.. older works still hold a significant amount of value for both the producer and the consumer. When a new reader "discovers" an author there's a reasonable chance that new reader will want to experience some or all of the authors older works...not just the latest book. That doesn't happen for linux distributions or for most categories of software. If your first experience with OpenOffice is version 2.0 there's very little chance you'll choose to go back and use OpenOffice 1.x unless your forced to for some bizarre technical reason.

By and large software releases are about incremental improvements... not completely new works... and thus the back catelog ecnomics just don't exist. The only area of software that has the same sort of back catalog value dynamics which drive the economic feedback that makes the Baen Free Library worthwhile for authors are software games titles.. and that's pretty much out of scope for the discussion at hand. We aren't talking about unpaid deployments of software games. No for operating system deployments we don't have any metric driven picture of how unpaid versus paid deployments really impact the market... and Eric Flint's metrics for book authors participating in free library activities don't map over.

-jef