This does not feel radical enough
This does not feel radical enough
Posted Jul 31, 2025 8:33 UTC (Thu) by farnz (subscriber, #17727)In reply to: This does not feel radical enough by dvdeug
Parent article: Reinventing the Python wheel
A lot of that is about what your simulation is meant to tell you; a simulation that says "will happen" or "won't happen" is only really of use as a component of a larger simulation that turns "measurements with error bars" into "Probability Density Function of event happening".
With a "yes"/"no", you're never going to know whether it's because you hit a lucky outcome; with a full PDF, you can see that "most likely is asteroid miss by 100 km, but there's a good chance of an asteroid hit", or "outcome is chaotic - all possible sizes of storm are equally likely from the measurements.