Distributors entering Flatpakland

As far as I can tell this is humanity having to relearn all the lessons that the 'previous generations' had to learn themselves. You can tell someone about all the problems they are going to walk into, but the human brain is built to skip all that until it lives those events itself. So the game for all of these repositories goes as follows:

1. New people hate dealing with the old way of doing things and want to do something different.
2. They build a bunch of tools in a new way and pile out their repositories with all those things.
3. Older people point out that their will be problems and if they did this or that they would be better off.
4. New people usually respond with 'this time it will be different.'
5. It isn't different and then the generation afterwards comes up with a curated method to deal with the pile of software.
6. They build businesses on this and get settled into their ways.
7. Goto 1.

Having now lived through different developer generations who have practiced the following:
download someone's prebuilt tarball and install it. Cant fix the code so suffer
download someone's source code and build it
upload that code to some central place for people but then find ftp site full of crap
come up with debs and rpms to help deal with updates and see what was built with built
find that ends up with dependency hell
come up with apt/yum/etc to deal with dependency hell
find out that people are building repos willy nilly and stuff is now broken between repos
try to figure that out with modules and other tooling
decide that all that is too much work and pile up all the prebuilt code into a container.
...

I expect that we will go through various solutions until curated containers will be replaced by the next 'tarball' layer.. probably someone's uploaded datacentre.