I think it is safe to say that (the traditional) Linux desktop has been losing relevance ever since OSX became an "Unix desktop" alternative.
It is not that the Linux desktop was very relevant then. Even 10 years ago most software houses had already given up writing software for it. But in the last 10 years or so, more and more software developers who were Linux users gradually migrated to OSX. Nearly all (software engineer) colleagues
I had used to run Linux at home, and now nearly all run OSX.
> Otherwise, Windows, OS X and probably even Android will continue eating everybody's lunch.
Please add iOS to the list. After (remote) maintaining my parents' Linux desktop and laptop, I decided it is too much of a hassle to get stuff to work (and to keep working), IMHO iOS is a better OS for them.
Non-Google Android tablets have no assurance of security updates, Google's Android tablets aren't always available outside of the US. Apple's iPad is really the only OS I know for sure that will get hardware refreshes (at my parent's country), and I don't want the trouble of having to migrate them to another tablet OS.
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