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Lets check the numbers ...

Lets check the numbers ...

Posted May 12, 2013 4:01 UTC (Sun) by shmget (subscriber, #58347)
In reply to: Lets check the numbers ... by rcweir
Parent article: Results of the Apache OpenOffice 4.0 Logo Survey

for reference, it is amusing to put the 'present' Rob in context with the Rob of 2 1/2 year ago:

http://www.robweir.com/blog/2010/09/libreoffice-newest-me...

" The key milestone I think will be if someday the Document Foundation can claim a headcount of developers that equals or exceeds that which Oracle has working on OpenOffice.org. In the end code talks, and developers write code."

I guess committers and commits where a 'key' milestone then... but not now...

http://www.robweir.com/blog/2010/11/the-legacy-of-openoff...
is interesting too. first it contain a graph, supposedly published in early November 2010, that reference Lo 3.3 and 3.4 and their date of GA in the future by 3 and 6 month respectively...
but also in the comment Rob put the emphasis once again on dev head-count:

"I’ve gone through the logs and the LO number shrinks from 150 to approximately 30 coders. That is a respectable number for a new open source project. I think LO should give a good, but realistic number, rather than trying to dazzle with the extremely improbably “150 developers” number. "

So back then, _that_ was an important metrics... and guess want, rob _could_ go to the logs again, and I bet you he did... but the numbers don't line up with his communication agenda... so let's pretend they do not matter anymore...

"it is not very surprising that Suse/Redhat/Ubuntu are distributing LO instead of OOo. Weren’t they distributing the “Novell Edition” (GoOo) all along?"

Remeber how Today's Rob talk about Linux distribution 'silently replacing OOo by LO'... well Rob from 2 1/2 year ago knew exactly what the situation was... he 'forgot' since then...

Rob from 1 year ago wrote a blog about such metrics...

http://www.robweir.com/blog/2012/04/free-software-marketi...

"Don’t just count those who are writing code. Almost anyone can be called a “developer” these days. Translators (“Localization Engineers”), build lab guys (“Configuration Management Engineers”), testers (Software Quality Engineers), etc. Include all of their contributions."

at first glance one may think that was a sarcastic blog, or maybe an April Fools joke... but no. 2 months later Rob applied his own advice and modified the 'subscription' in ohloh to get every modification of their website and internal wiki to count as 'dev' commit.
http://www.ohloh.net/p/openoffice/edits?page=6

"But be warned: use of these advanced techniques might open you up to criticism of promoting numbers that are meaningless,"

Well Today's Rob is meta-gaming ... he is now using the very criticism that he foretold about against his own shenanigan, to then declare that _any_ such numbers are meaningless... because he cooked his owns...
Genius!

"For example, suppose you have 400 developers, and 10 of them do 90% of the work, and they are employed by a single company. Avoid the naive mistake of saying that one company was responsible for 90% of the contributions. "

Which is pretty much the situation in Rob's project... except for the 400 dev part...
But he has preempted that problem quite a while ago, by declaring that IBM employee paid to work on aoo are 'volunteer' just like anyone else... and therefore it is irrelevant to figure out IBM % in the project...
(yes, yes he even went as far as arguing that since IBM employee are at-will employee and could quit if they wish, that make the case that they are 'volunteers.
but somehow that logic does not apply outside of his project... I guess he is taking the concept of 'fuzzy' logic to a whole new level...

"we're soon going to hit the 50 million download mark"
I guess it is best to let people see for themselves:
http://sourceforge.net/projects/openofficeorg.mirror/file...


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Lets check the numbers ...

Posted May 12, 2013 13:18 UTC (Sun) by rcweir (guest, #48888) [Link]

First, your link to the AOO download stats was to the English version only. if you want the localized versions as well the URL us here:

http://sourceforge.net/projects/openofficeorg.mirror/file...

That link overstates downloads, since it includes Language Packs, as well as full installs, intermixed in the same directory. I have no idea whether LO includes these in their counts, since they have never disclosed their methodology. But we give full details of ours, include access to the raw data and Python script for getting the data yourself here:

http://www.openoffice.org/stats/downloads.html

Second, although it is good to remind readers about the development effort under Sun and compare it to what is occurring today, you make the error of confusing "headcount" with "counts of contributors". Actual headcount, the effort on the project is measured in Full-time Equivalents (FTEs). It is entirely meaningless to look a contributor counts to gauge the effort being applied to a project. That is like counting pieces of currency without looking at the denomination.

The rest of your complaints I have either addressed elsewhere.

And do let me know if you have any comments or questions related to the parent article, the one about the logo selection process for AOO 4.0.


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