Mystery

Mystery

The real mystery is why anybody pays attention to this Winer person. He's demonstrated repeatedly how he fails to understand Free Software, and why it has been so successful.

It's always easy, and usually safe, to predict failure, because most attempts at anything interesting fail for a variety of incidental reasons. It's more of a challenge to identify ideas that have a chance to succeed, and that might be tried often enough to overcome the incidentals. The test of an analyst, therefore, is whether he has predicted successes that occurred. Correct predictions of failure indicate only a sour attitude. Predictions of failure that prove incorrect are especially damning. They demonstrate a lack of insight.