In physics, momentum is the product of mass and velocity. So the installed base of Solaris, its "mass", is indeed crucial to the question of whether Solaris has more momentum. But just as crucial is its "velocity". How big is the Solaris installed base compared to last year? Probably about the same size. Compared to five years ago? It might have been bigger then, at the height of the dot.com boom.
Linux's installed base is indeed smaller, but it's bigger this year than it was last year, and huge compared to what it was five years ago. That "velocity" can give it the higher momentum, and I think it does.
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