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The Year-end Wrap-up

December 23, 2003

This article was contributed by Ladislav Bodnar

With only a few days remaining in 2003, it is perhaps a good time to look back at some of the more interesting events of this year and look ahead to see where the main distributions are heading in the coming year.

Red Hat Linux and Fedora Core. The year 2003 turned out to be a year of transition for the world's most popular Linux distribution, with Red Hat Linux as we knew it, finally ceasing to exist. It was replaced by Fedora Core, a supposedly community-driven project for Linux enthusiasts, while the name Red Hat is now exclusively reserved for use in "Red Hat Enterprise Linux" (RHEL). The decision has left a gap between what is often perceived as Red Hat's experimental product (Fedora Core) and what is beyond financial reach of many small businesses (RHEL). It also resulted in confusion of some long-term Red Hat users and supporters who felt deceived by the policy change. For others though, Fedora Core is more than an adequate replacement: perhaps lacking Red Hat's traditional attention to quality control and slightly rough around the edges during the transitional period, but still a great product for those willing to share their experiences and solutions on the developers' mailing list. Fedora Core 2 is scheduled to enter a new testing phase in early February, with the final release expected on April 5th. The two critical features of this release are the inclusion of the 2.6 kernel and SELinux functionality.

Mandrake Linux. MandrakeSoft seems to have just about recovered from the financial troubles that were made public just over a year ago. The company released Mandrake Linux versions 9.1 and 9.2, with the ISO images of the latter version being made available exclusively to the MandrakeClub subscribers weeks before general release. The reviews have been mixed; some reviewers found the 9.2 version rather buggy, with a large number of post-release bug fixes by Mandrake confirming these observations. Still, Mandrake Linux has retained its reputation as a home users' favorite distribution by providing freely downloadable ISO images, by including excellent graphical configuration tools and by maintaining a highly active user and developer community. Mandrake Linux 10.0 with kernel 2.6 is scheduled to be released in March next year, with the first beta expected on January 1st.

Debian GNU/Linux. Not many people will be surprised to hear that the Debian project has gone through 2003 without producing a new stable version. Debian Sarge was originally scheduled for release in early December, but the release manager's optimistic prediction turned out to be way off the mark. The unfortunate compromise last month of several servers hosting the Debian project has further delayed the release. As the critical bug count still remains unacceptably high, don't be surprised if we don't see a stable Debian Sarge until well into the second half of 2004. Despite the setbacks, Debian has been one of the winners after the policy changes at Red Hat, with many users clearly finding the non-commercial nature of Debian more re-assuring and a lot more resistant to unpopular policy shifts than its commercial competitors. And although the latest stable release, Debian Woody, is badly outdated with its default kernel now two generations old, the Debian developers continue to support it with timely security patches.

SUSE LINUX. This was a big year for the German Linux company. Besides a name change (from SuSE Linux to SUSE LINUX), several new product releases and partnership announcements, SUSE's main presence in the media was triggered by two big events: one was the decision of the City of Munich to switch 14,000 servers and workstations to SUSE LINUX, while the other was the acquisition of SUSE by Novell. Like Red Hat, SUSE also appears to be focusing on large enterprises and volume customers. However, it is likely to continue with a twice-a-year release cycle of Personal and Professional editions of SUSE LINUX, of which the Professional edition will serve as a base for the company's less frequent enterprise-class products. We can expect a new version of SUSE LINUX, likely shipping with the 2.6 kernel, early in the second quarter of 2004.

Gentoo Linux. After the exponential growth of the increasingly popular source-based Gentoo Linux earlier this year, the distribution is entering a period of stabilization with more planning and predictability than before. This is already reflected in the updated release schedule for 2004, in which the Gentoo versions will change to a year-based scheme. Each quarter will see one new stable release with version 2004 expected in January, 2004.1 in April, and so on. Gentoo Linux 2004 will also incorporate the new 2.6 kernel, which will possibly make Gentoo the first distribution shipping with the new kernel. Besides general releases, other exciting development efforts abound at Gentoo; these include a new portage-ng, the successor of the Portage package management, as well as catalyst, a tool for building customized stage tarballs and live CDs.

Slackware Linux. Uncharacteristically, Slackware produced two stable releases this year - versions 9.0 and 9.1. The latter was declared "kernel 2.6 ready" and we can expect a new Slackware release soon after XFree86 4.4 and KDE 3.2 are declared stable. In July, Slackware also celebrated a 10-year anniversary since the initial release of Slackware Linux 1.0; this makes Slackware the oldest surviving Linux distribution available today. And despite the absence of any official dependency resolution package management tools and graphical configuration utilities (or perhaps because of it), Slackware remains one of the most popular, best loved and widely used Linux distributions on the market, especially on servers.

Knoppix. It would be wrong to conclude this story without mentioning Knoppix. As a truly innovative product, the Knoppix live CD has had an enormous impact on the distribution market in terms of Linux advocacy and adoption among users who had never tried Linux before. Besides being a great demonstration and rescue tool, Knoppix has also caused an explosion in other live CD projects, as evidenced by the Knoppix Customizations page at knoppix.net, which now lists no fewer than 70(!) Knoppix-based distributions and related projects. The success of the Debian-based Knoppix has also alerted developers and fans of other main distributions, with several Red Hat, Mandrake and Slackware-based live CDs all competing for our attention. Year 2003 can safely be declared as the "Year of the Linux live CD"!

Finally, a personal note. It has been a great privilege, as well as an interesting experience, to write these weekly articles for LWN.net. I would like to use this opportunity and express my gratitude to all readers who have contributed corrections, suggested improvements and provided feedback in the form of comments or personal emails here and at distrowatch.com. I will use them to gauge readers' interests, keep the pulse on happenings at popular distributions and perhaps uncover a hidden gem or a unique idea among the many interesting projects out there. Thank you all and happy holidays!


(Log in to post comments)

The Year-end Wrap-up

Posted Dec 24, 2003 7:33 UTC (Wed) by wolfrider (guest, #3105) [Link]

--Good job Ladislav! Thanks for your contributions to LWN. :) (Applause)

Debian based end-user distro

Posted Dec 24, 2003 16:38 UTC (Wed) by subhasroy (guest, #325) [Link]


Good job Ladislav.

Some other observations:

1) It is interesting to see that there is also proliferation of Debian based end-user/home-user distros:
Lindows, Xandros, Libranet, Progency (gone?), Mephis, UserLinux (in the design process). The commercial end-user distros are longer making them based on rpm (like Mandrake and SuSE did), but on debian.


2) LSB is floundering in its promise to make the third-party software packages distro-agnostic. LSB is also (AFAIK) is rpm-oriented. Lack of standardization for the ISVs is the greatest failure of the Linux distros because it causes support nightmare for them. So, there is currently very little support from ISVs for Linux in comparison to Windows. There are good technical solutions to this problem. Unfortunately, there is no agreement among the Linux industry and thus there is no hope in sight. As long as Linux market remains fragmented like we have now, it is safe to predict that there will be no serious market penetration of Linux in the end-user market. Therefore there is little threat to Windows from Linux in the desktop market. (I am a developer and I use Linux at home, but I'll probably remain a negligible minority).

The Year-end Wrap-up

Posted Dec 24, 2003 18:16 UTC (Wed) by smoogen (subscriber, #97) [Link]

Ok I guess I get to be the person to be nitpicky. You list many of the distros as being 'the most popular' which just screams.. no one really knows this so we all claim to be the most on servers, desktops, or whatever. I would much prefer that we had a real survey of what is on desktops, servers, etc.

That would mean no anominity for the people in the survey as it is too easy to fill up an anonymous survey with 10,000 'bots' that say First Post, I use XYZ leet distro.

Any way... off to get some coffee to get rid of this Bah Humbug attitude.

The Year-end Wrap-up

Posted Dec 28, 2003 10:42 UTC (Sun) by gdt (guest, #6284) [Link]

What I find really surprising is the lack of a distro targeting the Windows 95/ME machines that are going to fall out of Microsoft support this year (Win95SE in mid-Jan, WinME at end-Dec). Microsoft has no replacement product for that class of hardware, so those users will be open to alternatives.

Red Hat, SuSE and Mandrake all aim at a higher class of hardware than these Pentium and Pentium II machines.

The Year-end Wrap-up

Posted Jan 6, 2004 5:37 UTC (Tue) by xoddam (subscriber, #2322) [Link]

Debian Woody is a distribution which targets these boxes :-)

The Year-end Wrap-up

Posted Jan 8, 2004 14:45 UTC (Thu) by LinuxSneaker (guest, #18527) [Link]

Hmmm...the one part of the Slackware summery seemed a little incorrect, where it stated "despite the absence of any official dependency resolution package management tools..." Our program, swaret, is in the /extra directory of slackware, and it most certainly does support dependencies on all Slackware (official and nonofficial) packages.

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