" your info about RHEL conflicts with other posters here."
I have given you a public source from the company's roadmap slides presented in the company conference and your answer is this embarrassing hand waving?
" do you really think that if Debian abandons upstart for OpenRC that Ubuntu will not follow along?"
This is a poorly phrased question. Debian is not using Upstart now by default. So there is no real question of them abandoning it and yes, Ubuntu might very well decide not to follow if Debian decides to switch to OpenRC or Systemd considering how much they have invested in Upstart and that is quite understandable. Ubuntu has done considerably different things from Debian in many ways including the installer, Unity etc and there is no reason to automatically assume they will follow Debian in this case.