mobile computers replacing desktop
Posted Sep 9, 2012 21:41 UTC (Sun) by khim
In reply to: mobile computers replacing desktop
Parent article: Improving Ubuntu's application upload process
Just guessing at reasons people might think it makes sense to share parts between the mobile and desktop computer.
You are still looking on the whole story from wrong direction.
This is not about inventing desktop/mobile hybrids. No. This is about attaching large monitor, keyboard and mouse to handheld or tablet. And then inventing desktop/mobile hybrids.
Why would anyone do that? Are they geeks or just eccentric? Neither.
Let's start with facts.
Sales of PCs in 2011: 364 million units, 3.8% growth comparing to 2010
Sales of smartphones in 2011: 486 million units, 63.2% growth comparing to 2010.
What does it mean? Well, one simple thing: money are moving in the direction of smartphones (and to much lesser degree - tablets). And fast.
Even today there are a lot of guys who have smartphone and no PC (or they have brand-new smartphone and 5-6 years old PC). Tomorrow most smartphone owners will not own a PC - but they will still want to use large monitor, mouse and keyboard.
If the dock station for smartphone will be cheaper and will provide usable experience - they'll pick it over PC. And as smartphones will become more and more powerful this combination will be more and more natural.
And just like it happened with workstations at some point people will just stop buying desktops and laptops. It's hard to predict exactly when that'll happen, but when this will happen anyone who'll have no presence on mobile will go bankrupt. It's that simple.
Now you see why Microsoft is ready to put quite literally everything to win the mobile market? And why Intel spends billions to somehow shoehorn it's CPUs in mobile phones? The writings are on the wall.
In comparing the evolution of the laptop to the evolution of the handheld, I note that the laptop was always just a scaled down desktop. E.g. it ran the same OS and most of the same applications. Every advance was designed to make it more like the former desktop. In contrast, the handhelds have taken off in a separate direction. That should make a difference.
Absolutely. Laptops were never an existential threat for the developers of desktop software. Handhelds are such a threat. Exactly because there are continuity between desktop and laptops, but no continuity between laptops and handhelds.
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