What's the point?
Posted Mar 1, 2012 7:53 UTC (Thu) by khim
In reply to: What's the point?
Parent article: Mozilla announces HTML5-based phone
No, iOS and Android can both run web apps.
Well, kinda. If you squint just right. In both cases webapps are pale shadows of the native apps and it's hard to convince people to use them. They will use them if there are no choice, but given choice they choose native app 9 times out 10.
The potential market for web apps is 250M iOS users + 150M Android users + 20M web-based OS users = 420M users (using your numbers).
Not even close. Most iOS users have visited Appstore. Most Android users have at least opened Android Market once. Yet most Chrome users have not ever opened Chrome Web Store. And I doubt situation will be any different with Mozilla Store. 20M is my rough estimate of all the users who'll visit said store in a year - and it may be too optimistic one.
And that's ignoring the web on the desktop.
20M is mostly from desktop. Users of B2G abomination will be rounding error from this value. Sure, they'll be captive audience and will all visit said store at one point or another, but I don't expect to see more them million or two of them in the first year.
the web is the platform with the most reach of any platform.
Web apps can reach most users
False. Web apps and native apps are very well separated in minds of customers. You can, of course, wrap web apps in some kind of envelope and put it on Android market, but then it'll be perceived as native app - and a poor one at that.
Now, if B2G platform will ever become popular, then this perception may change. But so far all the ideas start with sudden unexplained popularity of B2G platform and I don't foresee where this strange enthusiasm will come from.
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