Your question is kind of premature
Posted Aug 24, 2011 2:32 UTC (Wed) by khim
In reply to: LinuxCon: The world's largest Linux desktop deployment
Parent article: LinuxCon: The world's largest Linux desktop deployment
Why do you think people should start with replacing desktop computer (or notebook) with a tablet or smartphone?
This is the very last stage of disruptive technology.
First you'll get a lot of users who never even touched the PC. There are about 1.5 billion PCs in the world and more then 5 billion mobile phones... which are quickly replaced with smartphones. Yet in reality sales of smartphones have just barely overcome sales of PCs - but they are still growing fast.
Next you'll have all the apps ported to smartphones/tables. This stage is starting already but it'll be few more years till you'll be able to actually ditch the PC - and keep all the apps.
And then finally users will start abandoning the PC - because it's more-or-less useless for most users at this point.
Since we are just switching from stage one to stage two it's no wonder so few people abandoned PC already. But this argument was used many, many, many times in the past (with mainframes, minicomputers, etc) - and every time it was wrong argument to use. But of course not that all these platforms have fully went away - some users are still around... last Multics systems was switched off in 2000!
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