20% desktop market share by mid-2006 [LWN.net]

20% desktop market share by mid-2006

Posted Aug 15, 2003 15:45 UTC (Fri) by Tar (subscriber, #2456)
In reply to: 20% desktop market share by mid-2006 by AnswerGuy
Parent article: Global IT firm predicts Linux will have 20% desktop market share by 2008 (NewsForge)

> Linux is likely to reach 10% by the end of 2004 or mid-2005 (it's hovering close to 5% now, world wide)

5%? I don't think so, it's hoovering around 1% for a very long time already according to Google Zeitgeist and Google gets ~250-300 million hits per day IIRC, that's over ~8 billion per month.

Globally 2-3% maximum IMHO, at places way way higher but average is still low.

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20% desktop market share by mid-2006

Posted Aug 21, 2003 9:57 UTC (Thu) by ekj (subscriber, #1524) [Link]

Yes. But Zeitgeist ignores the fact that there is still a large number of site that infact work well with many browesers, but direct you to a error-page if your browser doers not *claim* to be IE on MS-Windows.

Thus Konqueror, Firebird, Opera and even freaking *Lynx* comes with options to "Identify as IE". Many change to this, simply because it works better in a world with too many clueless "webdesigners".

20% desktop market share by mid-2006

Posted Aug 21, 2003 17:37 UTC (Thu) by hazelsct (subscriber, #3659) [Link]

The Google Zeitgeist gives a good approximation for active installed base (this is why Windows 98 is so large). I think Siemens is trying to say that Linux will have 20% of new OS shipments, and 5% is not entirely unreasonable now -- though if it is accurate, then the Zeitgeist should be rolling over any day now...