The means are different, the result is the same...
Posted Jul 7, 2009 17:33 UTC (Tue) by khim
In reply to: Again: why are you so sure?
Parent article: Ogg codecs dropped from HTML5
Even so, other companies with limited experience of pre-digital
video were able to deploy digital video solutions (such as Acorn, with
their Replay codecs), demonstrating that capable innovators were actually
able to enter the market satisfactorily.
Yup - and where this enterprise went? Right: nowhere - to the
extinction. The same people founded another enterprise (heavily-based on
patents) and it's thriving today (I mean ARM Ltd).
These days, such innovators would be excluded by the kind of
innuendo and veiled threats that sees open video standards excluded from
open Web standards by, naturally, members of the existing patent
1. That's what I'm talking about when I talk about adoption oproblems
2. Acorn was easily excluded by other means back when Acorn Replay was
Meanwhile, well-researched (technically and legally) open
codecs, such as Dirac, are the elephant in the room.
Not really. There are very few ways to produce Dirac (do you know a can
which can save files in Dirac format?) while H.264 can be produced easily. There are a lot of
hardware and software to play H.264 - not so with Dirac. Typical case of sunk costs. Thus I'm
pretty sure dirac will not displace H.264 (like vorbis failed to displace
MP3). It's good to have all these backup plans but you can be pretty sure
mainstream will continue to be MP3 and H.264. And in the long run it's
irreleant: by 2024 (may be earlier) all H.264-related tools will be free
for anyone to use, so this particular was is lost. MP3 tools will be free
by 2012 - do you still believe in future of vorbis?
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