Interview: Vernor Vinge
Posted Dec 10, 2008 22:17 UTC (Wed) by brouhaha
In reply to: Interview: Vernor Vinge
Parent article: Interview: Vernor Vinge
If it's "a bit too much like religion", that just means that you're reading too much into what the word singularity means in this context.
It's very hard to predict the future with any degree of accuracy, and since the advance of technology is on an exponential curve (e.g. Moore's Law), it is clear that predicting the future is becoming more difficult. From that, it seems obvious (at least since Vinge pointed it out) that there is some point in the future beyond which it is impossible to make sensible predictions, and that point isn't very far away.
What that doesn't tell us is the nature of the singularity itself or the post-singularity world. Naturally we can speculate about it, and anyone that tells you that the singularity will be the result of a specific trend or technology (e.g. nanotechnology) is by definition only speculating.
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