Not necessarily.

"" Clearly, if that is how to win, it isn't going to be easy. ""

You forgot Fluendo with its Elisa, you forgot miroTV... LinuxMC... i can think of a couple of
business models around those applications only.

OLPC-OX is not a business model not by a half millimeter... its government subsidy... how can
anyone have mature and independent model based on subsidy ?

Yes there is too much fragmentation in Linux desktop yet. It would be nice to have cross the
desk the same look and fell. Common styles, icon sets, colors... whether KDE or Gnome or...
that is, there should be a basic theme model for everyone, yet a good and extensible engine so
that creativity would not be crushed.

But if big players don't bother, they have other politics, its up to the small fish to carry
the all load of progress into mainstream, though they tend to diverge a lot... and i say this
because servers are invisible to the population.    

And people in Open Source are forgetting the most important of all, the source code must have
a meaning for non developers. No way in hell could a Linux "commercial" company sell me a
distro, not even for small server jobs. Lets not be hypocrites, its even true for MSFT, if it
wasn't for the more and more draconian ways of locking their 'soft' from unauthorized use.

I'm not even using one of the parallel to commercial distros (fedora,opensuse...) for that
matter... but every company "commercial" or not, could sell me intelligent ways of using
source code with great advantages...

Pitty people only think of MSFT models... until they get subsidized into oblivion.