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Wild predictions for 2008

Wild predictions for 2008

Posted Jan 3, 2008 3:20 UTC (Thu) by mcopple (subscriber, #2920)
Parent article: Wild predictions for 2008

I predict that one long-term effect of the XO laptop will be to bring an entirely new
generation of developers into the Linux ecosystem. Today's XO users will become tomorrow's
free software users, developers, and advocates. It may not happen in 2008, but if the OLPC
project is as successful as hoped for, we could very well see tens of thousands of young
people using free software in ten years, and millions of them by 2028. As the first generation
of Linux developers retires, a new, much larger generation of developers will arrive who have
grown up on free software and are steeped in its culture. The XO could very well be the
"secret sauce" we need to make Linux ubiquitous on the desktop of the future!


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Wild predictions for 2008

Posted Jan 3, 2008 14:56 UTC (Thu) by iabervon (subscriber, #722) [Link]

The XO generation won't be at all the same thing as the current generation of the free
software community; they'll be as different as the kids who grew up with cell phones are from
the early adopters with the phones that were only luggable in cars. I think that generation
will reject any application software they can't modify. Not just software they aren't
permitted to modify, but software that's not sufficiently clearly written or whose rebuild
process is too slow or complicated.

I can just see RMS's consternation when he finds millions of users specifically rejecting
emacs because they don't know elisp and can't find their way through the flow control, and
therefore can't each make their own personal changes.

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