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Is 2008 the Year of the Linux Desktop? (Linux Magazine)

Joe Brockmeier revisits the 'year of the Linux desktop'. "No doubt you've heard the prediction before — "this is going to be the year of the Linux desktop." At the risk of being repetitive, though, I'm going to go ahead and say it: 2008 really could be the year of the Linux desktop. Yes, yes. I know — we've all heard this before. If I recall correctly, 2001 through 2007 have also been" the year of the Linux desktop," according to various pundits. Hear me out, though, because it seems a few vendors are starting to get a clue about how they can make Linux compelling."
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Is 2008 the Year of the Linux Desktop? (Linux Magazine)

Posted Nov 16, 2007 17:21 UTC (Fri) by JoeBuck (subscriber, #2330) [Link]

I think that the Dell-Ubuntu deal was much more significant than the author thinks, not because it alone will make Linux on the desktop take off, but because it means that a major PC vendor is now committed to making Linux work well on the desktop, at least for a subset of the machines they sell. In the past, hardware vendors weren't considering the needs of Linux at all, except for servers.

So, while this deal alone won't get large numbers of people running Linux on the desktop, it helps remove a major barrier to a really good Linux desktop experience: getting to the point where you can buy it, turn it on, and it just works.

Is 2008 the Year of the Linux Desktop? (Linux Magazine)

Posted Nov 16, 2007 22:46 UTC (Fri) by i3839 (guest, #31386) [Link]

I think you're wrong. Dell does absolutely nothing for Linux. I can't buy a Dell with Linux on
it here, and if you can in your country, it's hard to find. So in other words, only people
that would use Linux anyway would buy a Dell with Linux. Intel, on the other hand, does a lot
more for Linux lately. The increase in hardware support for Linux is partly thanks to Intel,
not Dell. Throw in AMD's commitment to open the specs begin next year, and the future suddenly
looks much brighter. As far as the desktop goes, Nvidia is one of the few Linux unfriendly
hardware companies left.

Dell talks, hardware vendors listen

Posted Nov 16, 2007 23:24 UTC (Fri) by dmarti (subscriber, #11625) [Link]

PC vendors such as Dell and HP don't want to nail down a hardware design as only MSFT Windows or only Linux from day 1 -- if some sales person closes a big deal for a certain box with Linux on it, they want to be able to ship with as few driver hassles as possible. Relatively few Linux boxes can affect the hardware selection for many Windows boxes, and when Dell is applying a Linux driver filter to the hardware that goes into that many systems, the component vendors pay attention.

Dell talks, hardware vendors listen

Posted Nov 17, 2007 11:25 UTC (Sat) by i3839 (guest, #31386) [Link]

Good point.

Is 2008 the Year of the Linux Desktop? (Linux Magazine)

Posted Nov 16, 2007 17:53 UTC (Fri) by jdub (subscriber, #27) [Link]

Oh, COME ON. Don't say that! LWN shouldn't even link to stories that mention those words!
DOOMED again. DOOMED. Thank you SO VERY MUCH, on behalf of the entire FLOSS desktop community
and industry, Mr. Joe "screwed us for another year" Brockmeier!










(yes, this is a joke. mostly.)

Is 2008 the Year of the Linux Desktop? (Linux Magazine)

Posted Nov 16, 2007 18:57 UTC (Fri) by tjc (subscriber, #137) [Link]

I propose that we call 2010 the year of Linux on the desktop, and take 2009 off. My new year's resolution will be to use FVWM for the year.

Is 2008 the Year of the Linux Desktop? (Linux Magazine)

Posted Nov 17, 2007 17:01 UTC (Sat) by zonker (subscriber, #7867) [Link]

You're welcome. ;-) 

Is 2008 the Year of the Linux Desktop? (Linux Magazine)

Posted Nov 16, 2007 17:57 UTC (Fri) by jengelh (subscriber, #33263) [Link]

"2006 is the year of the linux dekstop"
"2007 is the year of the linux dekstop"
"2008 is the year of the linux dekstop"
Meh.

Is 2008 the Year of the Linux Desktop? (Linux Magazine)

Posted Nov 16, 2007 20:34 UTC (Fri) by einstein (subscriber, #2052) [Link]

What's the problem? For me, every year since 1993 has been the year of the Linux Desktop,
occasional use of a macbook pro notwithstanding.

Is 2008 the Year of the Linux Desktop? (Linux Magazine)

Posted Nov 18, 2007 14:30 UTC (Sun) by wilreichert (subscriber, #17680) [Link]

The sooner someone is right, the sooner we stop getting the barrage of similarly titled
articles.  I suspect somewhere around 2012.

Is 2008 the Year of the Linux Desktop? (Linux Magazine)

Posted Nov 18, 2007 14:35 UTC (Sun) by jengelh (subscriber, #33263) [Link]

The sooner someone is right, the more we will get (proven) headlines titled "Linux *is* the
desktop of the year 20xx (and counting...)"

Is 2008 the Year of the Linux Desktop? (Linux Magazine)

Posted Nov 16, 2007 18:25 UTC (Fri) by beoba (guest, #16942) [Link]

"Our advertisers sure hope so!"

Is 2008 the Year of the Linux Desktop? (Linux Magazine)

Posted Nov 16, 2007 19:05 UTC (Fri) by jordanb (guest, #45668) [Link]

So you think the Cubs are goin' all the way this year? I think they have a pretty good shot.

:>

Linux is not ready for desktop

Posted Nov 16, 2007 19:11 UTC (Fri) by proski (subscriber, #104) [Link]

Until it runs Duke Nukem Forever.

Linux is not ready for desktop

Posted Nov 16, 2007 19:31 UTC (Fri) by zotz (guest, #26117) [Link]

Linux is not ready for desktop

Until it runs Duke Nukem Forever. 


Dude! Mine has been running it like forever...

all the best,

drew

http://dangernovel.blogspot.com/
Danger - A Safe Bahamian Novel

Is 2008 the Year of the Linux Desktop? (Linux Magazine)

Posted Nov 16, 2007 22:29 UTC (Fri) by socket (guest, #43) [Link]

It's mid-November. Brace yourselves for the end-of-year recycled year-old articles and buy-this-for-$WINTER_HOLIDAY advertising.

Or, someone should make an RSS/Atom aggregator that adds metadata, for sorting source articles by a scoring system based on trainable text classification. I suggest starting with CRM114 as the classifier.

Traditional newswriting is done in "inverted pyramid" style, putting the most important information first, and details later, so that if you're short on time, there's (presumably) less harm done by stopping reading at any given point, that the stuff you've already read is more important than the stuff you haven't yet. We might as well sort our "news" articles, blog postings, comments, and email accordingly. "By date" just doesn't cut it if you read things from a wide variety of sources every day with limited time. And who doesn't?

Text classifiers aren't just for spam filtering. They can identify topics, authors, or any distinction that's repeatably consistent.

I'd do it myself, but I'm trying to not start any new projects, on account of my wrists.

Someone? Please?

Is 2008 the Year of the Linux Desktop? (Linux Magazine)

Posted Nov 18, 2007 14:26 UTC (Sun) by niner (subscriber, #26151) [Link]

I think it was last year's Vienna Perl Workshop, where someone presented 
exactly that: a RSS aggregator, that tries to identify similar news (his 
example was the election of the new pope) so one doesn't have to read 
basically the same article over and over. Also it did sort by likeliness 
of interest to the user.

Is 2008 the Year of the Linux Desktop? (Linux Magazine)

Posted Nov 17, 2007 19:14 UTC (Sat) by jospoortvliet (subscriber, #33164) [Link]

Same thing again and again. Maybe the author of 
http://www.informationweek.com/news/showArticle.jhtml?art... 
is right ;-)

when I think it might happen

Posted Nov 18, 2007 20:26 UTC (Sun) by sbishop (guest, #33061) [Link]

My wife runs XP, and I figure that it will stay this way until Microsoft drops support for XP
or her computer breaks, whichever comes first.  Then we'll decide whether to spend the money
required to run Vista versus Linux, and I think I know what the answer will be.

I figure that there will be businesses, schools, and other homes faced with the same question,
who will come to the same conclusion.  Hardware support is coming together.  How many other
people, like my wife, already run OOo, Firefox, and Thunderbird?  This is all starting to look
like a reasonable proposition to me, at least.

when I think it might happen

Posted Nov 19, 2007 16:04 UTC (Mon) by heksys (guest, #41569) [Link]

I will love to see this debate!

when I think it might happen

Posted Nov 23, 2007 10:19 UTC (Fri) by Cato (subscriber, #7643) [Link]

It may not all happen this year, but it is happening.  I burnt an Ubuntu 7.10 CD recently for
a colleague and he really likes it - installed smoothly on a Windows box, detected all
hardware, and so on.  

To make this happen, can I suggest every burns a few CDs of their favourite Linux distribution
(Ubuntu, Mandriva, PCLinuxOS, Fedora, SuSE - though personally I like Ubuntu a lot) and
encourages friends or family to install them on a 'second PC' - saves on the hassle of
antivirus and spyware on one Windows PC, and gets people into Linux.  Make sure your CD is
also live CD capable so they can just boot the live CD to try it out first.  And maybe install
Linux for them to get them over that hurdle if they are not techie.

Is 2008 the Year of the Linux Desktop? (Linux Magazine)

Posted Nov 19, 2007 15:54 UTC (Mon) by heksys (guest, #41569) [Link]

In my opinion I think 2008 it's going to be a BIG, B I G year for the Linux desktop on the
masses. This story on "Linux Magazine" is one of the few a have heard and read in the magazine
world, to go even further I found a similar story on a magazine that is more Windows User
Magazine:
http://www.computerpoweruser.com/editorial/article.asp?ar...
There is some interesting points that the columnist points out that make a lot sense and it's
whats helping the Linux desktop reach the masses, for example: Linux is stable, well
understood, well supported and widely deployed complete with applications, development
environments, and (over)full suites of system and network management tools. Story's like this
are more often found in magazines that the only thing you read is crap about windows. To me is
always the year of the Linux system because every year we work harder and harder, and every
year there is more and more people switching over to Linux.
 

Alternative devices

Posted Nov 21, 2007 19:46 UTC (Wed) by hazelsct (guest, #3659) [Link]

Let's not dismiss this too quickly.

Yes, Dell, HP, etc. make it hard to get a Linux desktop.  But the EEE and gPC mentioned in
this article are different.  When major retail giants like WalMart sell out a Linux PC within
days (just checked their website, all WalMarts within 100 miles of Boston are sold out), this
is a big phenomenon.

The world is learning that you don't need multi-GHz beasts to do basic desktop tasks.  And
they're learning it on Linux.  We are well past the price point where the Microsoft tax
becomes a major burden.  This could really take off next year.

Then there's the mobile market.  Linux already runs all over Motorola phones, and thanks to
the new 800-pound google^H^H^H^Hrilla in the ring, it's soon going to run everywhere but
Apple/AT&T, with a common development environment.

I am very much looking forward to an exciting year for Linux end-user mass market penetration.

The Desktop doesn't matter

Posted Nov 30, 2007 14:37 UTC (Fri) by forthy (guest, #1525) [Link]

Remember when the last big transition was, when Microsoft became the power that it is now? PCs didn't replace the computers of that time, they added a new segment of much cheaper computers. Microsoft and Intel won that part, but the trend started before. Replacing "the Desktop", a very particular way of using computers, might happen, but it's not important. I think the mobile phones, the eee PC and similar devices, the fact that video recorders and TVs today often are Linux boxes (or like the PS3 can be made one), that will change the game completely, and this changed game will allow Linux to win without overtaking Windows.

The reason why I'm a bit sceptical is inertia and network effects. Even when Linux is more than ready for the desktop, it takes ages to take effect. Windows is ready for the desktop. Well, not for mine, because I think it has been lagging behind Linux since at least for the last 12 years, but the common desktop PC user thinks it does what it should. There's apparently a whole generation of people who still make purchasing decisions in most company, and they follow Bill. They give a lot in brand names, and they think the price is a way to rate quality. This is the majority, and they can't be convinced with technical arguments. They just follow the herd.

That's why all those Linux gadgets matter. If people have half a dozend Linux gadgets around, and know about them, the brand name is established (often they don't, and when you point out that their Tomtom runs Linux, their Toshiba HD-DVD player and HDTV runs Linux, and their Motorola Rizr runs Linux, they maybe stop telling you that "Linux isn't for me". They already use it daily). It's therefore important to convince device makers that you should put a penguin sticker on your Linux powered box - and not just a GPL copy into the manual.

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